Future trends in medicine
According to the development trajectory of modern medicine and the development trend of society, in the next 20 or 30 years, medicine will undergo great changes, which are characterized by:
First, the task of medicine will gradually shift from focusing on disease prevention and treatment to maintaining and enhancing health and improving the quality of human life.
In the future, it will no longer be just patients, but a considerable number of normal people; people who consult doctors are not only patients who are sick because of physical deficiencies or a certain system, but also a considerable number of people seek medical treatment for life guidance and psychological counseling; doctors will not prescribe prescriptions to go to pharmacies to get medicines, and prescriptions for how to improve the quality of life.
The object of medicine will gradually change from a patient-centric model to a model for the
entire population. Therefore, the allocation of health resources in the whole society will be divided into two poles, namely community medical services and medical centers. A significant number of doctors (about half in some countries) are general practitioners engaged in community service, and much more than general practitioners, and for the population, in a sense more frequent, more direct, more effective and more resource-saving are community care teams (including family bed services, elderly apartment services, community confinement and infant services, etc.).
Medical centers will increasingly show their importance. More people, on the basis of community medical services, will choose their hospitals in a way that facilitates medical treatment and selects the best medical treatment. The so-called convenient medical treatment is no longer a regional concept, nor is it a concept of distance, but a concept that should be considered and judged from multiple factors such as time, space, and interpersonal relationships.
The step-by-step referral system and the fixed-point reimbursement system that restrict th
e free choice of hospitals for patients will be eliminated, and some inconvenient, excellent and featureless hospitals are bound to diverge and go out of business. The way out is: First, turn the whole into zero and go to the society, and do community health care work in a down-to-earth manner. Second, thoroughly reform, improve the level, and become a reliable and optional medical center in the minds of patients. Otherwise, we will have to watch the outpatient volume decrease year by year, the number of empty beds is increasing, and the efficiency of the hospital will deteriorate until it is difficult to calculate, and finally it has to declare bankruptcy.
Second, informatics and bioinformatics will change the way medicine is done
The thick medical records that have been carefully preserved for a long time will be replaced by a small card, which may only be the size of a business card, at most two or three, which is enough to record a lifetime of disease changes and diagnosis and treatment, and even include all the image data. The so-called medical records are no longer just records of the disease files in a certain hospital and a certain period, but also t
proliferationhe records of the health and disease changes of an individual's life. It can be expected that those who do not operate computers or even do not operate skillfully may find it difficult to become a good doctor in the future.
The Human Genome Project is expected to be completed by 2003, up to 2005, and in another 10 years, it may be possible to know the genetic map of everyone. According to this map, doctors can correctly make genetic diagnosis of certain diseases and predict the possibility of certain diseases, and then implement gene therapy and life guidance. So someone draws a cartoon, and when a patient comes to see a patient, the doctor can ask him if he has his own genetic profile file, and the patient can also ask the doctor if he has a license to interpret a certain level of personal gene map.
Nowadays, e-commerce has entered the market. It is expected that in the near future, as medical consultation or auxiliary means such as medical treatment and prevention, electronic medical and online hospitals will definitely enter the society and enter the market. However, it must be emphasized that no matter how advanced the science is and
how advanced the diagnostic or therapeutic means are, electronic medicine and remote consultation cannot replace the most basic doctors and patients face-to-face direct diagnosis and treatment. All kinds of advanced medical means are very important, but the most important thing is the basic skills of doctors, and the ability of doctors to use computers is only one of the basic skills of doctors.
The scope of medical work will be expanded from "birth to death" to "before death to after death"
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