2008年美国 金融危机 英文版 (in English)
  美国作为世界上第一大经济体,对世界经济的发展具有火车头的作用。然而2007年美国经济的表现不尽人意,次贷危机的爆发更是雪上加霜。经济增长速度降低,通货膨胀率升高,失业率增加,这一切显示出美国经济已经离滞胀越来越近了。美联储前主席格林斯潘称“美国经济尚未陷入滞胀,但已经有早期迹象出现”。
  2008 financial crisis (in English)
  The United States as the world's largest economies, the world's locomotive of economic development. However, in 2007 less than satisfactory performance of the U.S. economy, sub-loan crisis broke out, more difficult. To reduce the rate of economic growth, rising inflation, the rise in unemployment, all show the U.S. economy has been growing from the stagnation of the past. Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said "stagflation in the U.S. economy has not yet, but already there are early signs appear."
  次贷危机美国经济放缓的,其后续影响不断恶化并逐渐波及到世界经济。2007年
世界经济在连续四年的高速增长之后,出现了调整的迹象。同时,美国、欧元区和广大发展中国家的CPI上涨率已超过央行设定的控制目标。经济增长放缓和通货膨胀的压力同时出现,威胁着世界经济的发展,全球经济滞胀已经渐行渐近
  Second loan crisis in the U.S. economy is slowing down the fuse, and its follow-up impact of the deteriorating and gradually spread to the world economy. In 2007 the world economy for the fourth consecutive year of rapid growth, there have been signs of adjustment. At the same time, the United States, and the vast number of developing countries in the euro zone's CPI growth rate has exceeded the central bank set the goal of control. Slowdown in economic growth and inflation pressures at the same time, threatening the world economy, global economic stagnation has been Jianxingjianjin.
  世界主要国家出现滞胀的早期征毙
  2007年以来,主要发达国家经济增长开始“减速” ,全球大多数国家通货膨胀水平上升,世界上主要国家已经出现经济滞胀的早期迹象
  The world's major countries stagflation of the early symptoms to death
proliferation
  Since 2007, economic growth in major developed countries began to "slow down", the global rise in the level of inflation in most countries of the world's major countries have been early signs of economic stagnation
  从欧元区的数据来看,虽然2007年欧元区的GDP增长了2.6% ,略低于上一年的2.8% ,但是全年经济波动较大,第二季度仅增长0.3%,是2005年以来的最小增幅。欧洲经济面临经济下行的风险。
  以“金砖四国”—— 中国、俄罗斯、印度和巴西为代表的新兴国家,虽然经济仍能维持较快的发展速度,但是面临较高的通货膨胀压力。2007年,中国、印度和俄罗斯的GDP分别增长11.4%、8.9%和8.1% ,CP1分别上涨4.8%、5.2%和9.4% ,均超过其央行设定的控制目标
  The data from the euro zone, although in 2007 the euro-zone GDP grew by 2.6 percent, slightly lower than the previous year's 2.8 percent, but the large fluctuations in the economy as a whole, in the second quarter increased by only 0.3 % In 2005 is the smallest increase since. The European economy is facing the risk of the economy down.
  "BRIC" - China, Russia, India and Brazil are represented by emerging countries, although the economy has been able to maintain relatively rapid pace of development, but faced with higher inflationary pressures. In 2007, China, India and Russia's GDP grew 11.4%, 8.9% and 8.1%, CP1 rose 4.8 percent, 5.2 percent and 9.4 percent, exceeding the central bank set its goal to control.
  总的来看,由于新兴国家经济的持续增长,部分抵消了由于美国经济陷入衰退带来的影响,全球经济陷入停滞的趋势还不明显,但通货膨胀已在全球范围内显现,并呈愈演愈烈之势。如果主要发达国家经济疲态延续,全球通货膨胀进一步向恶性势态发展, 目前发展尚好的新兴国家经济必然会受到影响。果真如此,历史上从来没有出现过的、涵盖绝大多数发达国家和发展中国家的全球滞胀幽灵将在不远的将来显身。
  Overall, the emerging countries as a result of sustained economic growth, partially offset by the U.S. economy into recession due to the impact of the global economy to a standstill trend is not clear, however, inflation has emerged on a global scale and become increasingly positive Potential. If the major developed economic weakness continue, to th
e vicious global inflation and further developments, the current development of the country's economy is still good new is bound to be affected. If so, history has never seen, covering the vast majority of developed and developing countries of the world's specter of stagflation in the near future will still anonymous.
  经济趋于滞胀的原因
  美国在20世纪70年代曾经出现过经济滞胀,当时是由突发地缘政治事件造成的“石油危机”引发的。通过对比可以看出, 目前的全球经济形势与70年代滞胀有着相似之处,都是由原材料的价格上涨引发通货膨胀,导致经济衰退。但此次全球通货膨胀,是以美国的次贷危机为,实质上是流动性过剩引发的全球大宗资源商品价格高涨所致。石油和粮食价格上涨。推动叠货膨胀全球扩散
  石油短缺推动价格上涨。2001年至2004年间,美国、欧洲等国家为了应付经济衰退的局面大幅降低利率,货币供应量增加,经济增长产生巨大的需求,同时新兴国家经济发展,石油消费量增加。但是石油输出国组织一直奉行“限产保价” 策略,导致石油供给短缺,油价持续升高。石油作为全球消费量最大的基础经济能源,位于产业链的顶端,石油价格上
涨将会产生高位示范效应,给相关产业带来重大影响,会导致基础资源价格的整体上升,将通货膨胀推向更高的水平。
  国际粮食价格也大幅提高。粮食价格上涨的部分原因是由于过去一年里干旱等自然灾害使得产量降低,更主要的原因在于许多国家进行生物燃料的开发和生产,种植大量油料作物缩小了农业作物的种植面积。粮食和能源的高度关联使得粮食价格的上涨迅速“惨透”到总体物价,加剧通货膨胀,严重威胁对粮食和原材料依赖较高的发展中国家的经济发展
  Stagflation economy of the reasons
  The United States in the 1970s have seen economic stagnation, then by the unexpected geopolitical events caused by the "oil crisis" caused. As can be seen by comparing the current global economic situation and the 70s stagflation have similarities, from raw material price increases lead to inflation, leading to a recession. However, the global inflation, the U.S. sub-loan crisis for the fuse, in essence, the excess liquidity caused by the world's major resources caused by rising commodity prices. Oil and food prices. Promote the expansion of the global proliferation of overlapping products

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