Which of the following states that the proportion of occurrences with a particular outcome converges to the probability of that outcome?
Your Answer | Score | Explanation | |
Law of large numbers | Correct | 1.00 | |
Law of averages | |||
General addition rule | |||
Bayes’ theorem | |||
Total | 1.00 / 1.00 | ||
Question ExplanationThis question refers to the following learning objective: Explain why the long-run relative frequency of repeated independent events settles down to the true probability as the number of trials increases, i.e. why the law of large numbers holds.
Question 2
Shown below are four Venn diagrams. In which of the diagrams does the shaded area represent A and B but not C?
Your Answer | Score | Explanation | |
Correct | 1.00 | We need the area common to events A and B to be entirely shaded except for that portion common to event C: “A and B but not C”. | |
Total | 1.00 / 1.00 | ||
Question ExplanationThis question refers to the following learning objective: Draw Venn diagrams representing events and their probabilities.
Question 3
Each choice below shows a suggested probability distribution for the method of access to online course materials (desktop computer, laptop computer, tablet, smartphone). Determine which is a proper probability distribution.
Your Answer | Score | Explanation | |
desktop computer: 0.15, laptop computer: 0.50, tablet: 0.30, smartphone: 0.20 | |||
desktop computer: 0.25, laptop computer: 0.35, tablet: 0.15, smartphone: 0.25 | Correct | 1.00 | Sum of all probabilities must equal 1 and each probability must be a value between 0 and 1. |
desktop computer: 0.20, laptop computer: 0.20, tablet: 0.20, smartphone: 0.20 | |||
desktop computer: 0.30, laptop computer: 0.40, tablet: 0.35, smartphone: -0.05tablet2 | |||
Total | 1.00 / 1.00 | ||
Question ExplanationThis question refers to the following learning objective: Define a probability distribution as a list of the possible outcomes with corresponding probabilities that satisfies three rules:
- The outcomes listed must be disjoint.
- Each probability must be between 0 and 1.
- The probabilities must total 1.
Question 4
Last semester, out of 170 students taking a particular statistics class, 71 students were “majoring” in social sciences and 53 students were majoring in pre-medical studies. There were 6 students who were majoring in both pre-medical studies and social sciences. What is the probability that a randomly chosen student is majoring in pre-medical studies, given that s/he is majoring in social sciences?
Your Answer | Score | Explanation | |
6/53 | |||
6/170 | |||
6/71 | Correct | 1.00 | If M is the event a student is majoring in pre-medical studies and S is the event s/he is majoring in social sciences, then calculate P(M|S)=P(M&S)P(S)=671. |
(71+53−6)/170 | |||
Total | 1.00 / 1.00 | ||
Question ExplanationThis question refers to the following learning objective: Distinguish marginal and conditional probabilities.
Question 5
Which of the following is false?
Your Answer | Score | Explanation | |
If two outcomes of a random process (both with probability greater than 0) are mutually exclusive, they are not necessarily complements. | |||
If two events (both with probability greater than 0) are mutually exclusive, they could be independent. | Correct | 1.00 | Mutually exclusive events may be complements (e.g. if a coin is flipped the probability of a Head and a Tail are both 0.5, adding up to 1) but they also might not be if there are more than two possible outcomes of the random process (e.g. a voter might be Democrat, Republican, or Independent, since being Democrat and Republican are mutually exclusive but not complements). However mutually exclusive events cannot be independent; the events are always dependent since if one event occurs we know the other one cannot. |
If the probabilities of two mutually exclusive outcomes of a random process add up to 1, they are complements. | |||
When computing the probability that a card drawn randomly from a standard deck is either a Jack or a 4, you can use the addition rule. | |||
Total | 1.00 / 1.00 | ||
Question ExplanationThis question refers to the following learning objective:
• Define disjoint (mutually exclusive) events as events that cannot both happen at the same time: If A and B are disjoint, P(A and B) = 0.
• Distinguish between disjoint and independent events.
- If A and B are independent, then having information on A does not tell us
anything about B (and vice versa).
- If A and B are disjoint, then knowing that A occurs tells us that B cannot occur (and vice versa).
- Disjoint (mutually exclusive) events are always dependent since if one event occurs we know the other one cannot.
Question 6
Heights of 10 year-olds, regardless of gender, closely follow a normal distribution with mean 55 inches and standard deviation 6 inches. Which of the following is true?
Your Answer | Score | Explanation | |
A normal probability plot of heights of a random sample of 500 10 year- olds people should show a fairly straight line. | Correct | 1.00 | Since the distribution of heights of 10 year-olds closely follow a normal distribution we would expect the normal probability plot of heights of a large sample of such kids to show a straight line. |
Roughly 95% of 10 year-olds are between 37 and 73 inches tall. | |||
We would expect more 10 year-olds to be shorter than 55 inches than taller. | |||
A 10 year-old who is 65 inches tall would be considered more unusual than a 10 year-old who is 45 inches tall. | |||
Total | 1.00 / 1.00 | ||
Question ExplanationThis question refers to the following learning objective: Use the Z score
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